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How banks actually assess you when you refinance

You’ve never missed a repayment, so why does the bank say you can’t afford a cheaper loan? The answer is a test almost no one has ever explained. Here it is, in plain English.

By David Oastler, Chartered Accountant, former group CFO · Principal Broker · Last updated July 2026

The short version, if you’re pressed for time

  • A lender first works out what’s left from your household income after living expenses, debts and other commitments. For living expenses it generally uses the higher of what you declare or a minimum benchmark for a household like yours.
  • Whatever survives that subtraction is then tested against the mortgage repayment, but not at the rate you’d actually pay.
  • APRA’s guidance expects the banks it regulates to assess you at a rate at least three percentage points above your actual rate. A loan priced at 6.40% is generally assessed as though it were 9.40%.
  • A higher assessment rate means a higher assessed repayment, so the same income supports a smaller loan. That is what people mean when they say the buffer reduces borrowing capacity.
  • It’s also why people who make every repayment, every month, can be told they “can’t afford” a cheaper loan. A “no” under that test is a statement about assessed capacity, not about your repayment conduct.
  • Not every lender runs the same test. APRA’s buffer binds the deposit-taking institutions it regulates; assessment policy differs beyond that, and for borrowers with a clean repayment record refinancing like-for-like, some lenders can apply a substantially reduced assessment margin. Eligibility is strict and policies change, so treat this as context, not a promise.
  • The quickest way to see whether your situation may be worth a proper look is the free 60-second check further down this page.

“We pay it every month. How can we not afford a cheaper one?”

If you’ve had this conversation at your own kitchen table, you’re not alone. It’s one of the most common conversations my team and I have.

You’re still making the mortgage payments, but everything else is getting harder. The fixed rate ended, the repayments jumped, and your income hasn’t moved the way rates did. Maybe you asked your bank for something better and got a polite no. Maybe you tried to refinance elsewhere and were knocked back. Maybe you only just qualified last time, so you assumed there’d be no chance now, and never even tried.

And underneath it sits a question that genuinely doesn’t add up: you have been making these repayments the whole time. Every month, without fail, you prove you can afford your loan. Yet when you ask to move to a cheaper one, the answer comes back: “you don’t qualify.”

That’s not a personal failing, and it’s not the bank being difficult for sport. It’s how the assessment works, and once you understand it, the “no” starts to make a different kind of sense.

Step one

First, they work out what’s actually left over

Before a lender looks at your mortgage at all, it works out a single number: what remains from your household income once everything else is paid for.

Income, minus your living expenses, minus your existing debts and financial commitments: credit cards, car finance, personal loans, the lot. Whatever survives that subtraction is the money the lender treats as available to service a mortgage. Everything that follows on this page is a test applied to that one number.

And there’s a wrinkle in the middle of it that catches almost everyone by surprise.

You’ll be asked to declare your living expenses. But the lender doesn’t simply take your word for it. Most lenders also measure your household against a benchmark of what a household like yours typically spends, the Household Expenditure Measure, usually shortened to HEM. It’s built from national survey data on what Australian households actually spend, and it moves with your circumstances: how many adults are in the household, how many children, and how old those children are.

The lender then generally uses the higher of the two figures: your declared expenses, or the benchmark.

That sentence does a great deal of work. If you run a genuinely tight household and your real spending sits below the benchmark for a family your size, the assessment will often set your actual discipline aside and use the benchmark instead. You can’t economise your way past it. And because the benchmark climbs with the number and age of your children, the family in exactly the season of life where money is tightest is also the family whose assessed expenses are pushed highest.

Illustrative only, one example household, not your figures
The whole of this household’s take-home income$12,000 a month
This household declared $4,300 of living expenses, where the dashed line ends. The bank didn’t use it: the HEM benchmark for a household this size is higher, and lenders take whichever figure is higher. That’s $900 a month more, straight off the surplus.
$5,200Living expenses, set by the HEM benchmark, not the figure this household declared$1,170Debts and other commitments: car finance, credit cards, personal loans$5,630What’s left to service the mortgage, the surplus
Those three parts are the entire income, nothing sits outside the bar. Shrink one and the others have to give way, which is why the benchmark matters so much: it takes $900 a month straight off the end. That final $5,630 is the surplus every test in this article is applied to. The next diagram shows what happens to it.

Step two: the buffer, explained

Then they test it against a rate you’ll never pay

Here’s the part almost nobody explains.

Once the lender knows what’s left over, you’d expect the next question to be: “Can this household afford the repayments at the rate we’d actually charge them?” That isn’t the question it asks.

Instead it adds a safety buffer on top. APRA, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, the body that supervises Australia’s banks, publishes guidance expecting the lenders it regulates to assess new borrowing at a rate at least three percentage points above the rate you’d actually be charged. It is guidance rather than black-letter law, but every mainstream bank works to it.

So a loan priced at 6.40% is generally assessed as though the rate were 9.40%. The lender calculates what the repayments would be at that higher, hypothetical rate, and tests whether the surplus from step one could still cover them.

Picture a couple who make their repayment every single month. The assessment doesn’t ask, “can they keep doing what they’re already doing?” It asks, “could they still do it if their rate jumped by three percentage points tomorrow?”

If the answer to that second question is no, the application fails. Not because they can’t afford the repayments they’re actually making. Because they can’t afford a version of the loan they’d never actually be paying.

And because a higher assessment rate produces a higher assessed repayment, the same income stretches to a smaller loan. That is what people mean when they say the buffer reduces borrowing capacity: nothing about your income has changed, but the size of the loan it will support has.

Illustrative only, not a rate offer, a quote, or an indication of what you could borrow
The rate
6.40% The rate you’d actually pay+3.00 pts9.40% What the bank assesses you at
What that does to borrowing capacity
$900,000What the surplus supports at the rate you’d pay
$675,000What it supports once the buffer is applied−$225,000
Same household as the diagram above, working from the same $5,630 surplus in the same month. The only thing that changed is the rate the loan is tested at. Assumes a 30-year principal-and-interest loan; on those terms a three-point buffer cuts assessed capacity by about a quarter. Your own figures will differ.

Why does the buffer exist? (It’s not a conspiracy)

Straight answer: the buffer is there to protect borrowers, and in principle it’s sensible.

Rates move. Incomes change. A lender that approved loans people could only just afford on today’s rate would be setting families up to fail the moment conditions shifted. The buffer forces the question: could this household survive a meaningful rate rise? As a former CFO, I’d call that prudent lending. It’s the kind of stress-testing any good finance person runs before signing off on a commitment.

So no, the buffer isn’t the villain of this story. I’m not going to tell you the system is rigged, because it isn’t.

It’s worth knowing precisely who that guidance binds, because it matters later on this page. APRA supervises authorised deposit-taking institutions: the banks, credit unions and building societies that hold your savings. Lenders that don’t take deposits sit outside APRA’s remit and set their own assessment policy. So the three-point buffer is genuinely standard across the banks, and genuinely not universal across the whole market.

But sensible rules can still produce strange outcomes at the edges. And the buffer has one side effect that catches a lot of good borrowers: the very people it was designed to protect.

The side effect: your track record doesn’t get a vote

The standard test is a hypothetical about the future. It is not a review of your past.

Which means the strongest evidence you have (months and years of repayments made in full, on time, through the exact rate rises the buffer is worried about) carries almost no weight in the calculation. You can pass the real-world test every month and still fail the hypothetical one.

Now add how the last few years actually played out. Many households qualified when rates were at record lows, tested with the buffer on top of a low rate. Then rates rose, repayments jumped, and incomes didn’t keep pace. Today, the same household asking to refinance is tested at the buffer on top of current rates: a test rate higher than anything they’ve ever been asked to prove, for a loan that would cost them less than the one they’re already paying.

Same people. Same house. Same discipline. Different test.

Worth sitting with for a moment: the rate rises the buffer was designed to protect you against are the very rate rises you have already absorbed, in real life, out of your own income. You didn’t model it. You lived it. And the test still doesn’t count it.

So here’s the reframe this whole page exists for: when the answer comes back “no”, it’s very often the test talking, not you. If you’re making every repayment in full and on time, failing a hypothetical isn’t evidence you can’t afford your loan. Your loan statement is the evidence, and it says otherwise every month.

The part fewer people know

The test isn’t the same everywhere

Most people assume every lender runs the same maths. They don’t.

Some of the reason is structural, and we’ve already touched on it. The three-point buffer is APRA guidance, and APRA regulates deposit-taking institutions. A lender that isn’t one of those isn’t bound by that guidance and sets its own assessment margin. The rest of the reason is ordinary commercial policy: lenders make their own decisions about how they read income and expenses, and those decisions differ.

Assessment policy genuinely differs between lenders: the buffer applied, how income is read (especially if you’re self-employed or your income doesn’t arrive as a tidy payslip), and what weight your repayment history carries. As one real example we’ve seen (and outcomes vary), the same file can support meaningfully different borrowing amounts at different lenders. Same person, same documents. Different maths, different answer.

And for one situation in particular, the difference can be significant. For borrowers with a clean recent repayment record who are refinancing like-for-like (same loan, no extra borrowing, moving to a lower rate and a lower repayment), some lenders can apply a substantially reduced assessment margin instead of the standard buffer. The logic is hard to argue with: you’re already making higher repayments than the ones you’re applying for, and you’ve proven it month after month.

Before you read that as a promise, it isn’t one. Eligibility criteria are strict: typically clean recent conduct, adequate equity, and a genuine like-for-like switch. Policies change, sometimes without much notice. And whether any of it fits your situation can only be answered by looking at your situation.

But it does mean this much: a “no” under the standard test is not automatically a “no” from every lender under every policy. Assuming it is (and plenty of people quietly do) is an expensive assumption to leave untested. For the fuller map of why that is, choosing the right lender covers how policy actually differs across the market.

Illustration only, not a promised or typical outcome
Same borrower · same income · same file
Standard assessmentThe full serviceability buffer appliesDoesn’t pass
Reduced-margin assessmentAt some lenders, for eligible clean-record like-for-like refinancesWorth a conversation

Illustration only. Eligibility criteria apply and vary.

One more limit worth knowing about

There’s a second constraint sitting alongside the buffer, and it’s newer.

From 1 February 2026, APRA caps how much high debt-to-income lending the institutions it regulates can write: no more than 20% of new owner-occupied loans, and no more than 20% of new investment loans, can go to borrowers whose total debt is six times their income or more.

It isn’t a ban, and it isn’t a rule about you personally. It’s a limit on the composition of the lender’s book. The practical effect is that a bank approaching its own limit becomes more selective at that end of its lending. If your total debt sits at or near six times your income, it’s worth knowing this exists before you conclude that a decline was purely about your file.

Why you can’t just lodge these and hope

Placeholder (photo): real photography of David only, never stock.

If reduced-assessment pathways exist, why doesn’t every application simply find its way to one?

Because applications like these are hand-built. Lodged through standard channels, they can fall over, not because the borrower doesn’t fit, but because nobody matched the file to the lender whose criteria it fits, or presented it the way that lender’s assessor needs to see it.

These applications aren’t lodged and hoped for. They’re engineered: matched to the lender whose policy fits, and built so the file’s strengths are impossible to miss. That’s exactly the work my team and I do by hand, on every application. For 25+ years I’ve been a finance broker, and for most of that time I was also working as a Chartered Accountant and group CFO, reading financial positions, structuring them properly, and dealing with banks from the other side of the table.

That’s not a claim that expertise changes your numbers. It can’t, and nobody honest will tell you otherwise. What it changes is whether the lender whose policy actually fits your numbers ever gets to see them properly.

Chartered AccountantFormer group CFO25+ years a finance brokerCredit Rep No. 400791

So what do you do with this?

Everything on this page is general information: how assessment works in principle, not what’s right for you. Your numbers, your equity, your income story and your loan are your own, and every situation is different. That’s not a disclaimer for the sake of it; it’s the actual reason the next step is a conversation, not an application.

If your repayments are up to date and this page has you wondering, four things are worth knowing about your own position. And if you want the fuller picture of how a refinance actually unfolds, start to finish, our refinancing guide walks through it.

Your repayment conduct

Lenders offering reduced-assessment pathways typically look for clean recent history, so the record you’ve been quietly building matters more than you might think.

Your equity position

How much of your home you own versus owe shapes which policies could be relevant at all.

A like-for-like switch

These pathways are generally about moving the same loan to a lower rate and repayment, not borrowing more.

Your household make-up

Because the expense benchmark moves with the number and age of your children, two households on the same income can be assessed on very different expense figures.

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Questions people actually ask

Why would a lender ignore what I actually spend?

It generally doesn’t ignore it, it compares it. Most lenders take the higher of your declared living expenses or a benchmark of what a household like yours typically spends. The benchmark exists because declared expenses are self-reported and tend to look tidier at application time than they do across a full year. The side effect is that a genuinely frugal household can be assessed on spending it doesn’t actually do.

We have children. Does that change the numbers?

It can. The expense benchmark varies with household composition, including how many children you have and how old they are, so two households on identical incomes can be assessed on quite different expense figures. It’s one of the reasons a growing family can find its assessed borrowing capacity moving in the opposite direction to its income.

Does the buffer still apply if I’m not borrowing any more money?

Under the standard approach, yes. A refinance is new lending as far as the incoming lender is concerned, so it gets assessed like new lending, even when the balance is identical and the repayment would be lower than the one you’re making now. That is precisely the situation some lenders have built reduced-margin policies around, because testing a lower repayment at a much higher rate is a hard thing to justify. Whether any of those policies could apply to you depends on your circumstances.

Is the buffer the same at every lender?

No, and that’s the point of this page. The three-percentage-point buffer is APRA guidance, and it binds the deposit-taking institutions APRA regulates, which is every mainstream bank. Beyond that, assessment policy varies between lenders, and for eligible clean-record, like-for-like refinances, some lenders can apply a substantially reduced assessment margin. Which policies might be relevant to you depends entirely on your circumstances.

I’ve been declined before. Doesn’t that settle it?

A decline is one lender’s answer, under one policy, at one point in time. It isn’t a verdict from the whole market, and policies change. No one can promise a different answer, but “declined once” and “no pathway exists” are not the same statement, and it’s usually worth knowing which one is true for you rather than assuming.

Will the 60-second check affect my credit score?

The check and the Clarity Call don’t involve a credit enquiry, so nothing goes on your credit file. If you later decide to proceed with a formal application, that’s when a credit enquiry would happen, with your consent, and you’ll know beforehand.

The information on this page is general in nature and doesn’t take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. It isn’t a recommendation about any particular credit product or lender. Lending criteria, assessment policies, terms and conditions vary between lenders and change over time; eligibility is always assessed on individual circumstances.

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